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July 30, 2001
 
CMR Predicts Ad Spending Will Drop 2 Percent for 2001
Mid-Year Forecast Reflects Economic Realities of the Marketplace
 
CMR, the leading provider of strategic advertising and marketing communication information, today released its mid-year forecast, predicting that full-year 2001 ad spending will decline by 2 percent from $104.5 billion in 2000 to $102.4 billion.1

Due to the continued weakness in the U.S. economy, major advertisers and businesses have been forced to manage through softened economic conditions. As a result, advertising and promotion campaigns are often the first to be cut in budget-tightening efforts.

"After a look at the first quarter ad-spending numbers, which were down 5.2 percent across all media, as well as taking into account the current economic outlook, it is clear that 2001 will not be the stellar advertising year that we all experienced in 2000," said David Peeler, president and CEO of CMR. "Nevertheless, we must keep in mind that we are coming off a year (2000) in which there was both a presidential election and an Olympics, two factors that have always dramatically increased ad spending. Overall, the advertising industry is still ahead of where it was in 1999."

Growth Trends, 1999-2001
In 1999, total ad spending across all media was $92.1 billion, according to CMR. That number grew 13.5 percent to $104.5 billion in 2000. CMR's mid-year forecast predicts ad spending will decline 2 percent to $102.4 billion for 2001. Despite the ad spending cutbacks the industry has experienced this year, CMR still sees a two-year growth trend from 1999 to 2001 of 11.2 percent.

Although spending has been weak during the first half of 2001 compared to 2000, it is typical to see a seasonal growth pattern in fourth quarter spending, allowing for a recovery in the marketplace by year-end. In the fourth quarter of 1999, CMR reported total ad spending across all media was $27.4 billion and in 2000 the total spending was $29.1 billion, an increase of 6.5 percent.

"While the continuing fallout from the decline of the dot.coms is a major factor in our forecast, the slowdown in ad spending cannot be entirely focused on the dot.com crash," said Peeler. "Most of the major media that we monitor is down this year, primarily due to ad budget reductions in certain key advertising segments, such as automotive and telecommunications."

About CMR
TNS Media Intelligence/CMR, offers strategic advertising intelligence to advertising agencies, advertisers, broadcasters and publishers. The company's tracking technologies collect occurrence and expenditure data, as well as the creative executions of over 900,000 brands across 15 media. CMR is headquartered in New York City and maintains sales locations in major markets throughout the United States. For further information, visit http://www.cmr.com.

Through its international network of more than 200 offices in over 50 countries, Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS) provides market information services in over 80 countries to national and multi-national organizations. It is ranked as the fourth largest market information group in the world. For further information, visit http://www.tnsofres.com.

1 Full-year figures are based on CMR's Stradegy2 multimedia ad expenditure database.

This release and prior releases, in addition to all sales locations, are available on the CMR Web site at www.cmr.com