| CMR,
the leading provider of strategic advertising and marketing communication
information, today released its mid-year forecast, predicting that
full-year 2001 ad spending will decline by 2 percent from $104.5 billion
in 2000 to $102.4 billion.1
Due to the continued weakness in the U.S. economy, major advertisers
and businesses have been forced to manage through softened economic
conditions. As a result, advertising and promotion campaigns are
often the first to be cut in budget-tightening efforts.
"After a look at the first quarter ad-spending numbers, which
were down 5.2 percent across all media, as well as taking into account
the current economic outlook, it is clear that 2001 will not be
the stellar advertising year that we all experienced in 2000,"
said David Peeler, president and CEO of CMR. "Nevertheless,
we must keep in mind that we are coming off a year (2000) in which
there was both a presidential election and an Olympics, two factors
that have always dramatically increased ad spending. Overall, the
advertising industry is still ahead of where it was in 1999."
Growth Trends, 1999-2001
In 1999, total ad spending across all media was $92.1 billion, according
to CMR. That number grew 13.5 percent to $104.5 billion in 2000.
CMR's mid-year forecast predicts ad spending will decline 2 percent
to $102.4 billion for 2001. Despite the ad spending cutbacks the
industry has experienced this year, CMR still sees a two-year growth
trend from 1999 to 2001 of 11.2 percent.
Although spending has been weak during the first half of 2001 compared
to 2000, it is typical to see a seasonal growth pattern in fourth
quarter spending, allowing for a recovery in the marketplace by
year-end. In the fourth quarter of 1999, CMR reported total ad spending
across all media was $27.4 billion and in 2000 the total spending
was $29.1 billion, an increase of 6.5 percent.
"While the continuing fallout from the decline of the dot.coms
is a major factor in our forecast, the slowdown in ad spending cannot
be entirely focused on the dot.com crash," said Peeler. "Most
of the major media that we monitor is down this year, primarily
due to ad budget reductions in certain key advertising segments,
such as automotive and telecommunications."
About CMR
TNS Media Intelligence/CMR, offers strategic advertising intelligence
to advertising agencies, advertisers, broadcasters and publishers.
The company's tracking technologies collect occurrence and expenditure
data, as well as the creative executions of over 900,000 brands
across 15 media. CMR is headquartered in New York City and maintains
sales locations in major markets throughout the United States. For
further information, visit http://www.cmr.com.
Through its international network of more than 200 offices in over
50 countries, Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS) provides market information
services in over 80 countries to national and multi-national organizations.
It is ranked as the fourth largest market information group in the
world. For further information, visit http://www.tnsofres.com.
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