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| June 25,
2002 |
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CMR
Forecasts Stronger Growth In 2002 Ad Spending Than Previously Predicted
Mid-Year Update Reflects Expectations For a Healthier U.S. Economic
Gain and the Better-Than-Expected Upfront Season |
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| NEW YORK, June 25, 2002 - Advertising
spending is expected to rise 2.5 percent for 2002 to 109.1 billion1,
according to the mid-year estimate first released this morning at
AdWatch: Outlook 2002™ by CMR, a leading provider of strategic
advertising and marketing communications information.
AdWatch: Outlook 2002™, presented by Advertising Age, CMR/
TNS Media Intelligence U.S. and UBS Warburg, is a premier event
that offers an unparalleled perspective on the future of advertising,
marketing and media. This one-day conference began earlier today
at the Grand Hyatt Hotel in New York City.
"We are off to a good start this year, which suggests a rebound
over last year," said David Peeler, president and CEO of CMR.
"All and all, we can expect three factors to boost the market
this year: the impact of the upfront on the broadcast season, the
upcoming elections in November and the continued growth of Spanish
Language television. Nonetheless, despite the improvement over
2001, full year 2002 will be down 6.7 percent when compared to
the high-water mark of 2000."
CMR estimates that total ad spending for the first half of 2002
will show a slight decline, down 0.4 percent compared to the same
timeframe in 2001. In retrospect, without the $986 million2
in ad spending on the Winter Olympics, the first half of 2001 would
be down 2.2 percent. While improvement in the latter half of the
year is expected due to stronger growth during the third and fourth
quarters, the second half of 2002 is being compared to the particularly
depressed levels of 2001.
2002 QUARTERLY GROWTH TRENDS
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| First Half |
-0.4 % (e) |
-6.1 % |
| 1st Quarter |
0.4 % |
-3.9 % |
| 2nd Quarter |
-1.1 % (e) |
-8.1 % (e) |
| Second Half |
6.2 % (e) |
-7.3 % (e) |
| 3rd Quarter |
5.1 % (e) |
-7.9 % (e) |
| 4th Quarter |
7.1 % (e) |
-6.8 % (e) |
| Full Year |
2.5 % (e) |
-6.7 % (e) |
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| GROWTH ESTIMATES FOR 2002
BY MEDIA 3
|
| Network TV |
4.5 % |
| Spot TV |
8.9 % |
| Cable TV |
-0.3 % |
| Syndication |
-3.2 % |
| Spanish Language TV (Univision and Telemundo) |
10.4 % |
| Consumer / Sunday Magazines |
-2.8 % |
| B2B Magazines |
-11.4 % |
| Newspapers (Local) |
5.7 % |
| National Newspapers |
-1.7 % |
| Radio (Network, Spot and Local) |
6.7 % |
| Internet |
5.3 % |
| Outdoor |
-1.0 % |
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The upcoming elections in November will provide added spending
for spot television, local newspapers and radio advertising across
markets in states with significant Congressional and statewide
races. For Spanish Language TV, CMR predicts to lead spending in
2002 by 10.4 percent. Peeler noted, "Year-over-year, CMR has
tracked a healthy double-digit growth pattern for this medium,
which has surprisingly outpaced the trend for the market in general.
Interestingly, in the midst of the recession, Spanish Language
TV grew by 14 percent."
Overall, 2002 shapes up to be a better year than 2001. Key trends
impacting today's advertising marketplace such as, the better-than-expected
broadcast upfront, fall elections and the continued growth in Spanish
Language TV, will drive the outlook for the market this year.
About CMR
TNS Media Intelligence/CMR, offers strategic advertising and marketing
communications information to advertising agencies, advertisers,
broadcasters and publishers. The company's tracking technologies
collect occurrence and expenditure data, as well as the creative
executions of over one million brands across 15 media. CMR is headquartered
in New York City and maintains sales locations in major markets
throughout the United States.
Within the TNS organization, CMR stands as a key member of TNS
Media Intelligence. This group, dedicated to worldwide media analysis,
provides advertising expenditure tracking, evaluation and consultative
services for broadcast, Internet and print media, in addition to
news monitoring capabilities. TNS Media Intelligence is the market
leader in the U.S. and France, with significant operations in Europe
and Asia. For further information, visit http://www.cmr.com.
Through its international network of 230 offices in more than
50 countries, Taylor Nelson Sofres provides market information
services in over 80 countries to national and multi-national organizations.
It is ranked as the fourth largest market information group in
the world. Further information on Taylor Nelson Sofres is available
from the corporate Web site:
http://www.tnsofres.com.
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