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| June 16, 2004 |
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TNS
Media Intelligence/CMR Forecasts 9.3 Percent Increase in U.S. Advertising
Spending for 2004
Mid-year forecast released at AdWatch: Outlook 2004 conference shows multiple
media segments, including Internet and Spot TV, on strong growth track.
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| NEW YORK, June 16, 2004 - Advertising
spending is expected to rise 9.3 percent to $140.3 billion1, according
to the mid-year forecast released this morning at AdWatch: Outlook
2004™ by TNS Media Intelligence/CMR, the leading provider of
strategic advertising and marketing information.
AdWatch: Outlook 2004™, presented by TNS Media Intelligence/CMR
and Advertising Age is the premier industry event that offers an
unparalleled perspective on the future of advertising, marketing
and media. This one-day conference began earlier today in New York
City.
"Advertising spending during the first quarter of 2004 was
very strong, as total expenditures increased 9.6 percent to $31.5
billion as compared to the same period in 2003. This robust ad
growth is the beginning of what we forecast to be an extremely
strong year," said Steven Fredericks, president and CEO of
TNS Media Intelligence/CMR. "With the upswing in the economy,
the elections and the Olympics, 2004 is shaping up to be a very
good year overall."
The first half of 2004 is forecasted to show a growth rate of
9.4 percent, with a growth rate of 9.2 percent expected for the
second half of the year. "Other key trends that will impact
the healthy advertising outlook include strong growth in the leading
ad categories and growth in new brand spending," noted Steven
Fredericks.
2004 QUARTERLY GROWTH TRENDS 1
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| First Half 2004 |
9.4% (e) |
| 1st Quarter 2004 |
9.6% |
| 2nd Quarter 2004 |
9.3% (e) |
| Second Half 2004 |
9.2% (e) |
| 3rd Quarter 2004 |
10.9% (e) |
| 4th Quarter 2004 |
7.7% (e) |
| Full Year 2004 |
9.3% (e) |
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| Two
of the key drivers for the year include the political races and
the Olympics. Estimates are that political spending will total
$1.5 billion in 2004, with $1.3 billion being spent on the elections
and $200 million being spent on issue-related ads. Olympic spending
will contribute an incremental $850 million, an increase of $100
million over ad spending surrounding the 2000 Sydney games. Overall,
these two areas will make significant contributions to third quarter
spending.
All TNS Media Intelligence/CMR measured media, with the exception
of Business-to-Business Magazines, are expected to show growth
for 2004. Internet expenditures are expected to rise 15.8 percent
for the year, the highest increase of all media sectors.
GROWTH ESTIMATES FOR 2004 BY INDIVIDUAL MEDIA 1
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| INTERNET |
15.80% |
| SPOT TV |
14.30% |
| RADIO (Network, Spot, Local) |
11.50% |
| CABLE NETWORK TV |
9.90% |
| NETWORK TV |
9.80% |
| SYNDICATION |
9.80% |
| OUTDOOR |
8.40% |
| SPANISH LANGUAGE TV |
7.00% |
| MAGAZINES (Consumer and Sunday) |
6.40% |
| NEWSPAPERS (National and Local) |
6.40% |
| MAGAZINES (Business-to-Business) |
-0.10% |
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About TNS Media Intelligence/CMR
TNS Media Intelligence/CMR is the leading provider of strategic
advertising and marketing information - across media, brand, industry
and market. The company's tracking technologies collect occurrence
and expenditure data on more than 1.9 million brands spanning 20
media. TNS Media Intelligence/CMR is headquartered in New York
City and maintains sales locations in major markets throughout
the United States.
Within the TNS organization, TNS Media Intelligence/CMR is a key
member of the Media Intelligence sector - dedicated to providing
worldwide tracking, analysis, evaluation and consultative services
for the media and marketing communities. TNS Media Intelligence
is the market leader in the U.S. and France, with significant operations
in Europe and Asia. For further information, including this and
prior press releases, please visit http://www.tnsmi-cmr.com.
About TNS
TNS is one of the world's leading market information groups, providing
market measurement, analysis, insight and advice in more than 110
countries. Working with national and multi-national organizations,
TNS helps its clients develop effective business strategies and
enhance relationships with their customers. Further information
on TNS can be found on http://www.tns-global.com.
About AdWatch: Outlook 2004
AdWatch: Outlook 2004 is the third annual conference hosted by
Advertising Age and TNS Media Intelligence/CMR that features the
exclusive release of first half and full year advertising spending
estimates. Key buyers, sellers, agency representatives and analysts
participate in panel discussions throughout the conference focusing
on the media industry's most pressing issues, including market
turnaround, ROI and the future of advertising, marketing and media.
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